If the outcome of US Elections have come down to Pennsylvania, it may be over for Kamala Harris.
Using our 3rd Eye AI model to generate electoral outcomes via online public narratives, here is what the current public perception in Pennsylvania looks like for both Donald Trump and Kamala Harris:
Donald Trump:
- Positive Narratives:
1. Economic Leadership: Many Pennsylvanians credit Trump for a strong economy during his presidency, with some believing he can restore economic stability.
2. Strong Stance on Immigration: Trump's tough immigration policies resonate with voters concerned about border security and illegal immigration.
3. Populist Appeal: Trump's outsider status and direct communication style appeal to voters who feel disconnected from traditional political elites.
- Negative Narratives:
1. Divisive Rhetoric: Trump's often inflammatory language and polarizing statements have alienated some moderate and independent voters.
2. Handling of COVID-19: Criticism persists regarding Trump's management of the pandemic, particularly in terms of public health messaging and response.
3. Legal and Ethical Concerns: Ongoing legal issues and allegations of misconduct continue to be a point of contention for some voters.
Kamala Harris:
- Positive Narratives:
1. Progressive Policies: Harris's focus on social justice, healthcare, and climate change appeals to progressive voters and younger demographics.
2. Historic Candidacy: As the first female Vice President of color, Harris represents a significant milestone in American politics, inspiring many voters.
3. Diplomatic Approach: Harris's emphasis on diplomacy and coalition-building is seen as a stabilizing force in contrast to Trump's confrontational style.
Negative Narratives:
1. Perceived Ineffectiveness: Critics argue that Harris has not accomplished significant policy changes during her tenure as Vice President.
2. Association with Biden Administration: Some voters dissatisfied with the current administration's performance may view Harris unfavorably by association.
3. Communication Style: Harris has faced criticism for perceived gaffes and a communication style that some find lacking in clarity or substance.
Top 3 Issues for Voters in Pennsylvania:
1. Economy and Jobs: Economic recovery post-pandemic, job creation, and inflation are top concerns for Pennsylvanians.
2. Healthcare: Access to affordable healthcare and prescription drugs remains a critical issue for many voters.
3. Public Safety and Crime: Concerns about crime rates and public safety, particularly in urban areas, are significant for Pennsylvania voters.
Likelihood of Winning in Pennsylvania:
Based on current public sentiment our AI model predicts:
Donald Trump: 54% | Kamala Harris: 46%
The more important data here actually the temporal one where Harris is continuing to slide in Pennsylvania since early September.