Our key goal and interest here is to test how accurately our AI model using open data is able to predict the US elections outcome in November 2024, and if such a model can then be generalised and scaled for elections all over the world?
Here is the what our AI model is predicting as of Oct 21 11am EST.
1. Pennsylvania:
- Donald Trump: 55%
- Kamala Harris: 45%
2. Michigan:
- Donald Trump: 53%
- Kamala Harris: 47%
3. Wisconsin:
- Donald Trump: 54%
- Kamala Harris: 46%
4. Arizona:
- Donald Trump: 52%
- Kamala Harris: 48%
5. Georgia:
- Donald Trump: 51%
- Kamala Harris: 49%
6. Nevada:
- Donald Trump: 50%
- Kamala Harris: 50%
7. North Carolina:
- Donald Trump: 53%
- Kamala Harris: 47%
8. Florida:
- Donald Trump: 56%
- Kamala Harris: 44%
On a national level, based on the public pulse over social media, Donald Trump appears to have a slight edge:
- Donald Trump: 53%
- Kamala Harris: 47%
These predictions are based on public narratives over social media related to the US elections and key policy issues that are likely to determine the elections outcomes.