Trump vs Harris: Weekly Prediction with 3rd Eye

With only a week left until the US Elections on Nov 5 2024, our AI model is now consistent in its prediction on the Elections outcome. But a week is a lifetime in politics, and the numbers are in a range where there is a potential for a flip. However, it appears unlikely at the moment, given the trajectory of both campaigns.

As mentioned in the previous post, our key goal and interest here is to test how accurately our AI model using open data is able to predict the US elections outcome in November 2024, and if such a model can then be generalised and scaled for elections all over the world?’

Here is the what our AI model is predicting as of Oct 28 815am EST.

1. Pennsylvania:
- Donald Trump: 55%
- Kamala Harris: 45%

2. Michigan:
- Donald Trump: 58%
- Kamala Harris: 42%

3. Wisconsin:
- Donald Trump: 54%
- Kamala Harris: 46%

4. Florida:
- Donald Trump: 60%
- Kamala Harris: 40%

5. Arizona:
- Donald Trump: 52%
- Kamala Harris: 48%

6. Georgia:
- Donald Trump: 53%
- Kamala Harris: 47%

7. North Carolina:
- Donald Trump: 56%
- Kamala Harris: 44%

On a national level, Donald Trump appears to have a slight edge:

- Donald Trump: 52%
- Kamala Harris: 48%

These predictions are based on public narratives over social media related to the US elections and key policy issues that are likely to determine the elections outcomes.